Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?
Live
Yes
32.5 % chance
No
67.5 % chance
$3.7K
38
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 32.5 %chance
- Yes 32.5¢ · No 67.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
20.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
11.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
53
Smart money
32
Top holders
- pi…edYes3,656
- Ha…thNo724.2
- Dr…NLNo530
- Lu…ysNo359.6
- K8…RONo348
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