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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 30?

Live · started Oct 28 04:29 UTC

Yes
45.9 % chance
No
54.1 % chance
$2.0K
35

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 04:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 30, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 30? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 45.9 %chance
  • Yes 45.9¢ · No 54.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

39.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
44.9¢
Yes price now
5.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
113
Smart money
23

Top holders

  • m8…rtYes603.9
  • el…lfNo331.6
  • h…vNo273.3
  • Cb…edNo180.5
  • He…erNo180

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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on October 30? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank