Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$19.9K
35
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 22:33 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.1 %chance
- Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
5.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
36
Smart money
23
Top holders
- Pa…s.No2,700
- Si…eeYes661.1
- G…dNo136
- Th…seNo120
- Sm…lyYes600
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