Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$1.2K
20
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.1 %chance
- Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
3.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
19
Top holders
- Ga…deNo966
- do…meNo791.5
- ba…arNo346.9
- Lu…ysNo336.4
- mi…27No285
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