Weather · Earthquakes
Question
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 8.0 – 8.1?
Live
Yes
11.5 % chance
No
88.5 % chance
$569.14
12
Trading opened Aug 18, 2026 14:53 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 7, 2027 16:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 11.5 %chance
- Yes 11.5¢ · No 88.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
11.5¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
26
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Ki…ngNo165.1
- Ru…ssYes197.9
- My…iaNo81.6
- Vi…axNo80
- gm…mgNo50.9
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