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Politics · US electionsIowa Midterm

Question

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Live

Yes
58.5 % chance
No
41.5 % chance
$121.2K
75

Trading opened Oct 13, 2025 22:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Iowa Senate Election Winner → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 58.5 %chance
  • Yes 58.5¢ · No 41.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

57.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
57.5¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
123
Smart money
55

Top holders

  • Br…nkNo200,167
  • n…1Yes167,643
  • an…23Yes49,157
  • lo…anYes48,200
  • a…zNo25,968

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Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank