Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$4.7K
56
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 22:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.5 %chance
- Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
90.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.7¢
Yes price now
85.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
231
Smart money
46
Top holders
- th…drYes1,500
- Ga…maNo1,298
- ci…esYes824.5
- li…rdYes700
- Si…eeNo2,653
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