US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?

Live

Yes

92.3 % chance

7.7 % chance

$3.9K

Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 06:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 6, 2026 04:59 UTC

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

92.3 %chance
Yes 92.3¢ · No 7.7¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

Yes price now 92.3¢ · holder entry warming up.

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

ju…03Yes3,000
88…12Yes2,200
Ar…n2Yes1,190
AnonymousYes1,034
la…anYes793.3

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

Create account to unlock

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.