Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
Live
Yes
0.7 % chance
No
99.3 % chance
$869.67
10
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.7 %chance
- Yes 0.7¢ · No 99.3¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
20.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.7¢
Yes price now
19.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
8
Top holders
- jo…onNo303
- me…48No170
- bo…nkNo149.6
- A…VYes255.7
- sh…ooYes290
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…