Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?
Live
Yes
40.0 % chance
No
60.0 % chance
$4.0K
32
Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 06:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 40.0 %chance
- Yes 40.0¢ · No 60.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 40.0¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
43
Smart money
27
Top holders
- m…sYes3,359
- pa…aaNo2,447
- 1n…r1No1,899
- la…anYes1,789
- Te…roNo1,045
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