Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?
Live
Yes
21.1 % chance
No
78.9 % chance
$665.92
19
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 21.1 %chance
- Yes 21.1¢ · No 78.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
19.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
21.1¢
Yes price now
1.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
18
Top holders
- pi…edYes905
- Lu…ysNo314.1
- ha…ayNo165
- Vi…axNo157.2
- Dr…NLNo110
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