Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 23, 2026?

Live

Yes

0.5 % chance

99.5 % chance

$700.29

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 24, 2026 03:59 UTC

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.5 %chance
Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢

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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.1¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

0.5¢

Yes price now

3.6¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

mi…ktNo167.3
pl…erNo145
ba…arNo132.4
go…26No83
gm…mgNo52

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