Tech · AI
Question
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
Live
Yes
41.0 % chance
No
59.0 % chance
$841.68
26
Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 41.0 %chance
- Yes 41.0¢ · No 59.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
38.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
41.0¢
Yes price now
2.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
17
Top holders
- iu…alYes738.7
- Ki…ngYes455.6
- mo…yyNo312
- Hy…onNo238.5
- do…erYes270.3
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