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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?

Live

Yes
95.1 % chance
No
4.9 % chance
$7.7K
77

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 22:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TN-04 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 95.1 %chance
  • Yes 95.1¢ · No 4.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
94.8¢
Yes price now
86.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
279
Smart money
50

Top holders

  • th…drNo2,500
  • Pr…ieYes1,751
  • Ga…maYes1,359
  • so…esYes1,089
  • xt…meNo906

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Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank