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Weather · IstanbulIstanbul Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?

Live · started Oct 19 04:30 UTC

Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$7.9K
35

Trading opened Oct 19, 2026 04:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 21, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 21? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.5 %chance
  • Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

21.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.0¢
Yes price now
13.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
120
Smart money
26

Top holders

  • da…thYes7,136
  • AnonymousNo3,226
  • Be…erNo1,853
  • Co…leNo452.5
  • me…alNo265.8

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Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank