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Politics · US elections

Question

Gavin Newsom 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

Live

Yes
3.1 % chance
No
96.9 % chance
$131.35
4

Trading opened Oct 16, 2026 02:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 30, 2026 17:00 UTC

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.1 %chance
  • Yes 3.1¢ · No 96.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

2.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.1¢
Yes price now
1.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • Ad…stNo116
  • Vi…axNo80
  • mu…erNo65
  • ci…esNo54.5
  • do…meNo50

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Gavin Newsom 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank