Politics · GeopoliticsCuba
Question
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Live
Yes
8.5 % chance
No
91.5 % chance
$6.0K
11
Trading opened Jan 4, 2026 20:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 8.5 %chance
- Yes 8.5¢ · No 91.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
35.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.5¢
Yes price now
27.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Ja…77No67,266
- Th…alYes73,687
- A…nNo30,522
- de…tsYes44,659
- a…tNo21,487
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