Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
28.0 % chance
No
72.0 % chance
$11.5K
22
Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 06:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 28.0 %chance
- Yes 28.0¢ · No 72.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 28.0¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
41
Smart money
16
Top holders
- cl…edNo11,078
- m…sYes12,740
- k…oNo1,804
- la…anYes2,597
- p…eNo1,580
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