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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15?

Live · started 16:00 UTC

Yes
83.5 % chance
No
16.5 % chance
$995.97
37

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 83.5 %chance
  • Yes 83.5¢ · No 16.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

63.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
83.5¢
Yes price now
20.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
61
Smart money
22

Top holders

  • do…e7Yes333.5
  • li…00Yes170.4
  • Cr…15Yes140
  • Jo…wnNo191.1
  • Bu…arYes114.3

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank