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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?

Live

Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$99.61
5

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 16:23 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

CA-48 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.5 %chance
  • Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

13.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
8.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • Si…eeNo1,175
  • Ok…erYes1,083
  • in…thNo343
  • an…23Yes1,005
  • mo…wdNo200

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Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank