Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-03 House seat?
Live
Yes
3.3 % chance
No
96.7 % chance
$181.27
5
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:54 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.3 %chance
- Yes 3.3¢ · No 96.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.3¢
Yes price now
3.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
4
Top holders
- G…dNo235
- on…plNo150.1
- ts…m1No117
- m…dNo93.2
- Z…PNo60
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