Politics · Global electionsUK
Question
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?
Live
Yes
98.9 % chance
No
1.1 % chance
$1.5K
15
Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 98.9 %chance
- Yes 98.9¢ · No 1.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
98.9¢
Yes price now
76.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Fa…stYes648.1
- BK…95Yes411
- p…iYes323
- Ad…shYes549.6
- f…rNo1,249
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