Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?
Live
Yes
88.5 % chance
No
11.5 % chance
$3.2K
17
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 23:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 88.5 %chance
- Yes 88.5¢ · No 11.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
76.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
88.5¢
Yes price now
12.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
12
Top holders
- ma…ksYes2,967
- Pr…ieYes2,422
- Ga…maYes2,000
- Si…eeNo2,879
- Al…alNo3,500
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