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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30?

Live · started Oct 28 04:29 UTC

Yes
31.5 % chance
No
68.5 % chance
$530.33
25

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 04:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 30, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 30? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 31.5 %chance
  • Yes 31.5¢ · No 68.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

38.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
33.5¢
Yes price now
4.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
44
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • ar…owYes267.9
  • ho…45No184.6
  • 9…yYes181
  • pa…inYes149.3
  • te…toNo99.9

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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 30? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank