Politics · Ukraine & RussiaGeopoliticsUkraine x Russia Peace Deal
Question
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
7.5 % chance
No
92.5 % chance
$9.4K
14
Trading opened Nov 5, 2025 17:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.5 %chance
- Yes 7.5¢ · No 92.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
29.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.5¢
Yes price now
21.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
10
Top holders
- N…HNo51,225
- zv…daNo21,934
- AA…AAYes27,818
- aa…ggNo16,456
- Kr…erNo12,173
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