Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?
Live
Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$327.33
11
Trading opened Oct 9, 2026 21:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 19, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.3 %chance
- Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
2.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
5
Top holders
- bo…nkNo866
- A…VYes1,858
- SL…TMNo507.5
- Pa…atNo422.5
- jo…ghNo200.8
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