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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?

Live

Yes
27.0 % chance
No
73.0 % chance
$2.0K
41

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 27.0 %chance
  • Yes 27.0¢ · No 73.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

25.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
27.0¢
Yes price now
1.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
80
Smart money
31

Top holders

  • ds…veYes1,705
  • Lu…ysNo359.6
  • Ju…reNo294.9
  • AnonymousNo137.2
  • An…meNo128.3

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank