Politics · US electionsTrump
Question
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$343.90
9
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 14:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
18.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
17.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Sn…erYes934.2
- Lu…ysNo334.4
- re…26Yes404.5
- Sp…umNo153.3
- re…erNo147.2
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