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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on October 14?

Live · started 15:00 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$1.1K
15

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 04:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 14, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 14? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • re…f3No601.5
  • Ha…taNo200
  • xu…gkNo155.2
  • Lu…ysNo138.2
  • Ul…neNo80

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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on October 14? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank