Politics · US electionsIran
Question
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live
Yes
4.2 % chance
No
95.8 % chance
$29.3K
56
Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 16:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? → all 3 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.2 %chance
- Yes 4.2¢ · No 95.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
Yes price now 4.2¢ · holder entry warming up.
24h fills
133
Smart money
42
Top holders
- Bu…amNo15,000
- cl…edNo12,237
- cl…edYes36,433
- Ar…lyNo7,000
- w…gNo5,000
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