Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
39.5 % chance
No
60.5 % chance
$2.0K
12
Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 14:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 39.5 %chance
- Yes 39.5¢ · No 60.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
42.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
39.5¢
Yes price now
3.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
6
Top holders
- Jo…erYes2,941
- Gl…s7No2,543
- Te…llNo2,075
- ne…89Yes1,653
- an…ckNo1,432
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