Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live
Yes
58.6 % chance
No
41.4 % chance
$3.1K
19
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 58.6 %chance
- Yes 58.6¢ · No 41.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
58.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
58.6¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
23
Smart money
14
Top holders
- C…rYes2,306
- ci…esNo1,957
- Di…oyNo676
- Wa…rHNo207
- AnonymousYes166.2
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