World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–10%?
Live
Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$61.81
4
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.9 %chance
- Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
3
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo65
- go…94No30
- do…meNo30
- Vi…axNo30
- A…VYes75
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