Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?
Live
Yes
16.0 % chance
No
84.0 % chance
$1.5K
31
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:11 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 16.0 %chance
- Yes 16.0¢ · No 84.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
18.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.0¢
Yes price now
2.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
58
Smart money
28
Top holders
- e…3No565.2
- Ha…thNo460
- au…emYes1,000
- Lu…ysNo359.6
- Re…ekNo250
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