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World · Global elections

Question

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

Live

Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$909.53
21

Trading opened Sep 23, 2026 20:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 25, 2026 23:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.5 %chance
  • Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

8.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
3.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • do…meNo328.7
  • Ze…BGYes840.4
  • Lu…ysNo228.8
  • ca…48No202.2
  • mu…erNo135

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Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank