World · Global elections
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
Live
Yes
20.5 % chance
No
79.5 % chance
$2.0K
13
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 20.5 %chance
- Yes 20.5¢ · No 79.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
13.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
20.5¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
9
Top holders
- Ma…luYes2,552
- Pr…heYes2,000
- ba…arNo919.3
- Cb…edNo868
- cr…jiNo400
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