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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Live · starts 17:00 UTC

Yes
55.5 % chance
No
44.5 % chance
$166.0K
131

Trading opened Dec 19, 2025 02:05 UTC

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 55.5 %chance
  • Yes 55.5¢ · No 44.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

37.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
55.5¢
Yes price now
17.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
202
Smart money
70

Top holders

  • mi…baNo205,418
  • Un…ngYes141,406
  • Pa…iaYes56,765
  • Re…ekYes69,384
  • ba…s1Yes34,105

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Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank