Politics · US electionsUS Election
Question
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$7.6K
23
Trading opened Jan 14, 2026 19:57 UTC
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
6.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
44
Smart money
22
Top holders
- Vi…axNo2,277
- Ta…ilNo1,977
- ba…arNo1,309
- Ho…llYes5,813
- a…zNo948.2
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