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Weather · AustinAustin Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on October 15?

Live · started 05:00 UTC

Yes
0.2 % chance
No
99.8 % chance
$188.41
12

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 07:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Austin on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.2 %chance
  • Yes 0.2¢ · No 99.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.2¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
19
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo112
  • ni…xmNo50
  • 1D…TDNo50
  • gm…mgNo28
  • Kn…shNo27.4

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Will the highest temperature in Austin be 81°F or below on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank