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Politics · US electionsIran

Question

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Live

Yes
89.0 % chance
No
11.0 % chance
$50.4K
78

Trading opened Oct 11, 2026 16:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23? → all 3 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 89.0 %chance
  • Yes 89.0¢ · No 11.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

Yes price now 89.0¢ · holder entry warming up.

24h fills
205
Smart money
54

Top holders

  • cl…edYes17,309
  • Ar…lyYes15,000
  • be…ckNo40,151
  • w…gYes11,040
  • AnonymousNo14,883

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Will there be no Hormuz agreement? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank