Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3% or more?
Live
Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$321.59
14
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.1 %chance
- Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
6.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
30
Smart money
11
Top holders
- Ju…reNo227.4
- a…3No131.7
- e…3No101.4
- ha…ayNo80
- Hi…eyNo75
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