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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%?

Live

Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$1.1K
23

Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 19:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.5 %chance
  • Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

18.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.0¢
Yes price now
8.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
39
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • re…26Yes2,095
  • Lu…ysNo414.3
  • Pr…ieNo240.7
  • Vi…axNo244
  • Ad…stNo153

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 0%-3%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank