World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 6–8%?
Live
Yes
6.1 % chance
No
93.9 % chance
$495.76
12
Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 00:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory → all 15 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.1 %chance
- Yes 6.1¢ · No 93.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
9.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.1¢
Yes price now
3.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
8
Top holders
- me…48No546.1
- Cb…edNo122.8
- Jo…92Yes344.6
- A…VYes213.8
- Ro…inYes193.4
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