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Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Trading opened Sep 16, 2026 02:26 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 4, 2026 23:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? → all 5 questions

Where holders bought vs market

11%
Holder avg entry (skill-weighted)
5%
Market mid
6 pts
Holders paid above the current mid
24h volume
$433.96
24h fills
23
Positioners
18
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • ba…arNO660
  • ba…arYES640
  • Re…e.NO478.3
  • Ju…reNO264.3
  • go…hoYES622.3

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Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank