Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Live · starts Nov 3 17:00 UTC
Yes
7.5 % chance
No
92.5 % chance
$1.3K
32
Trading opened Jun 25, 2026 17:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.5 %chance
- Yes 7.5¢ · No 92.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
12.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.5¢
Yes price now
4.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
49
Smart money
28
Top holders
- do…meNo658
- ch…69Yes1,900
- Lu…ysNo450.3
- T…aNo406.5
- ha…ayNo265
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