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Politics · Global electionsUK

Question

Will the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Live

Yes
2.9 % chance
No
97.1 % chance
$74.56
13

Trading opened Sep 14, 2026 22:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 23:59 UTC

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.9 %chance
  • Yes 2.9¢ · No 97.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.9¢
Yes price now
5.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo158.4
  • ci…esNo128.9
  • sm…ptNo85
  • Ad…stNo58
  • gm…mgNo57.7

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Will the Labour Party candidate win less than 30% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank