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Weather · Earthquakes6.5 Earthquake Weekly

Question

Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Live

Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$322.60
23

Trading opened Oct 16, 2026 14:23 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25? → all 7 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.9 %chance
  • Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
1.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
38
Smart money
21

Top holders

  • Al…reNo323.2
  • Ki…ngNo328.4
  • Co…chNo85.1
  • Vi…axNo50
  • e…3No45.6

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Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank