Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 20%-30%?
Live
Yes
3.3 % chance
No
96.7 % chance
$19.90
3
Trading opened Aug 11, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.3 %chance
- Yes 3.3¢ · No 96.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.3¢
Yes price now
4.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
2
Top holders
- Sp…wlNo111
- xt…meYes279.4
- Lu…ysNo68.9
- Vi…axNo60
- qu…elNo60
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