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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live · starts Nov 7 13:53 UTC

Yes
96.0 % chance
No
4.0 % chance
$3.9K
40

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place → all 33 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 96.0 %chance
  • Yes 96.0¢ · No 4.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

74.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.0¢
Yes price now
21.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
55
Smart money
29

Top holders

  • a.…elYes2,558
  • v…8Yes2,401
  • v…iNo2,701
  • Sn…erYes892.2
  • fl…elYes399.7

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Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank