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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on October 23?

Live · started Oct 21 10:56 UTC

Yes
0.8 % chance
No
99.2 % chance
$244.20
7

Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 23, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 23? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.8 %chance
  • Yes 0.8¢ · No 99.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.8¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
6

Top holders

  • go…26No75
  • 1D…TDNo50
  • mi…27No42
  • go…94No21.6
  • Ar…ryNo21

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on October 23? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank